A good way to hedge that is by employing him in OAD. After starting out the season on a high note, the two-time PGA Tour winner looked downright beat the past two weeks, failing to finish inside the top-40 in back-to-back weeks. Longshot pick to win WM Phoenix Open: J.T. Hes won five times in the past 18 months and possesses all the skills to win at any course. Sportsbooks in the US should offer golf futures because they are so common. At one point in the spring, Lowry displayed some of the best golf of his career at one point, and victory seemed to be within reach. At this stage of his career, hes likely better suited for tough events thanks to his winning experience. RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field at the 2023 Genesis Invitational, Xander Schauffele ($9,900 DraftKings | $11,700 FanDuel). Rahm has two top-10's in four tries and tied for 21st last year, when he rebounded from a second-round 73 and shot 65 on Sunday. If he can lean into either one of those talents and tap into that upside, Na could be a scary contender at Southern Hills. Hes a great fit and, even if he doesnt cash an outright for us, hes still been good enough at this event to get us a nice chunk. If you thought last weeks elevated event was big, itll be basically the same field at a major-championship caliber golf course, all while injecting Tiger Woods into the field! Price range: $9,000 and above High Upside: Patrick Cantlay ($9,100 DraftKings | $11,200 FanDuel) Cantlay hasn't. Having returned to his alma maters home state of Texas, the 25-year-old is the clear favorite, and a win here may be just the beginning for this talented golfer. The Grant Thornton Invitational (Dec. 4-10) will team 16 PGA . Its time for Billy to break through, and theres a lot of evidence that he will again soon. Kim has the third-best odds behind Sungjae Im and Hideki Matsuyama but I love his fit here. The Tour Championship is the pinnacle of achievement on the PGA TOUR. Hatton has historically been a good iron player, gaining 0.25 strokes per round over his past 100 rounds. Despite the negative flatstick, he still finished T-9 and T-14 in those events. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. Both are ideal fits for this type of ball-striking course and Rahm has been a Top 10 machine here as the hometown guy. RELATED:PGA Championship 2022: The top 100 golfers competing at Southern Hills, ranked. RSM Classic: Davis Riley. Scheffler, the worlds top golfer, will have to contend with the likes of Jon Rahm, Collin Morikawa, Rory McIlroy, and Justin Thomas, as well as the rest of the top 10. It's fair to say that LIV's numbers are on par with the first round of last week's PGA Tour event. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. It won't be all fun. Now with football behind us, golf betting should be the focus for many. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. You must be of legal age in the state where you are betting on golf. Its the first elevated event of the PGA Tour season, meaning that we have a loaded field with eight of the Top 10 golfers in the world teeing it up, including Rory McIlroy making his first start stateside in 2023. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Jed Morgan scores LIV Golfs golden ticket as big-name stars plan Aussie escape. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy. Hes incredibly talented and seems to only be getting better. Most essential will be navigating the renovated greens and the surrounds, which will be treacherous to recover from. Sportsbooks have Will Zalatoris, Shane Lowry, and Sungjae IM at the top of the betting board as the tour goes to Memphis next week for the FedEx St. Jude Championship. Many sportsbooks now provide a variety of live golf odds because of the proliferation of online apps. PGA Championship picks 2022: Players to Fade This Week (who will disappoint) Caddie: Jon Rahm (11-1, DraftKings) There will be testy 5- to 10-footers all week and Rahm has been shaky at. His floor is very high right now, and he has two runner-up finishes in his past five trips to Riviera. The PGA TOUR has started its 2022-23 golf season, while LIV Golf has just wrapped up its inaugural season, and . Since its opening in March 1993, the golf course at Links Hope Island has regularly featured among the leading courses in Australia. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. There are many bookmakers that offer head-to-head matchup golf betting odds for every round of the tournament, as well as for the full event. Its terrifying to fade the two-time PGA champion, but with the plethora of great names in this price range, this feels like the most natural fade. Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, NC, will host the Wyndham Classic in 2022, the final tournament before the FedEx Cup Playoffs. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. However, sometimes things happen beyond our control. There are no weaknesses in his game, but perhaps this is a letdown spot and a chance for us to finally get some value on someone down the board (please)? Bay Hill Club and Lodge will once again host this great event, which will begin on Thursday morning. Despite the trouble guarding so many of the greens at PGA Nationals Champion course, Kirk managed to hit 54 of 72 greens to rank T-7 for the week, while posting a strokes gained/approach mark of 7.643 strokes gained on the field to rank second. CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. The best golf advice from our PGA expert picks is right here. The two time major winner . PGA Picks This Week 2023: PGA Tour Expert Picks and Best Bets. To get you in the mood, you can place bets on things like who will win rookie of the year or who will be declared FedEx Cup champion before the season even starts. Due to the big field sizes and the four-day format, many longshots win or come close to victory on the tour. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. Zalatoris had a surprising missed cut last week at the AT&T Byron Nelson, but its not time to abandon him. Your sportsbooks per-place payout will vary from one book to another, so be careful to compare them before placing an each-way bet. After this weeks Wyndham Championship, you must be in the top 125 of the FedEx Cup standings to qualify. If I was designing a golf course specifically for Cameron Youngs skill-set, it would look a whole lot like Bay Hill, as the 26-year-old remains one of the most dominant drivers of the ball in the world and an excellent long iron player. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. RELATED: Here are the odds of every player in the field at the 2022 PGA Championship, Safest Option: Justin Thomas ($10,700 DraftKings | $11,700 FanDuel). Sony Open: Gary Woodland. RELATED:PGA Championship 2022 picks: The 13 best bets to win at Southern Hills, Most Likely To Disappoint: Webb Simpson ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,400 FanDuel). . Shriners: Sungjae Im. He hasnt had much major success, but the PGA Championship has been his best, making the cut in eight of nine starts. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Sahith Theegala. However, he hasnt needed that skill recently, gaining a staggering 20.4 strokes on approach over his past three starts. Mix in the fact hes gone fifth-eighth-15th-13th in his last four starts at API and youve got the recipe for a Florida Swing heater. Yes, this is a tough field, but Lowry is not the type you write off in these spots. For every tournament, bettors can place a slew of prop bets on everything. Now everybody's hopping off at 65-1?. The 4th elevated event on the PGA Tour schedule takes place this week with the star-studded 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Since the Phoenix Open, hes gained a total of 10.8 strokes on approach, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. At the same time, though, JT hasnt finished outside of the Top 20 at TPC Scottsdale in each of the last five years and has been Top 10 three times and Top 5 twice in that stretch. Houston Open: Jason Day. In terms of pure value, youd be hard pressed to find a better bet on the board than the former Masters champion. Our results with players at this years Hot List testing show that some players cant carry a 5-iron farther than they fly a 7-iron. Powers, Golf Digest: Shane Lowry (65-1, FanDuel) Last week he was the toast of the town as the second favorite, and he wound up finishing top five. Mitchells ball-striking should put him in the mix here, and I love the Bermuda putting splits. Hes historically one of the better short-game players on tour, gaining 0.71 strokes around-the-green and on the green over his past 100 rounds. Although Willy Z has been pretty brutal on the greens in his career, his lag putting has been notably good, and a great fit for the giant greens, while his short game remains quite underrated. Hes a major champion, a WGC winner (remember those?) Hopefully its one of his hot weeks. By continuing to use this site, you are providing consent to it. Our outright panelwhich consists of a caddie reporting anonymously from the grounds at Bay Hill; Pat Mayo of DraftKings and FantasyNational.com; Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; Andy Lack of RRG and his Inside Golf Podcast; and your two authorsis all aboard the Willy Z train. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. Hes seen tangible improvements with the putter, gaining 21.07 strokes over his last 17 startscompared to losing 20.66 strokes in the 17 starts prior. Speaking of sour short games, enter Corey Conners. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. As. With so many rounds in a tournament, there are numerous ways to place a wager. In the past two weeks, Day has played greatjust one bad round prevented him from contending. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. He has eight top-25 finishes in his past nine starts with four top-10s. And be sure to subscribe to "Be Right" wherever you get your podcasts! Tiger Woods ($7,300 DraftKings | $8,900 FanDuel). ), RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Sungjae Im is one of the few players in this field who is teeing it up for the fourth week in a row. Listed at +100 apiece to finish Top 10, Im getting aggressive and parlaying them to both finish Top 10 this week. Before placing a wager on a specific golfer or matchup, you can check out how theyre doing in previous rounds. He has the ball-striking to put together a strong showing at Bay Hill, and while the putter is still hit-or-miss, its not nearly as bad as it used to be. If youre looking to place a bet, there are a myriad of markets to choose from. Powers, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (-120) over Corey Conners (DraftKings) Keegans Bay Hill record is as good as anybodys in this field not named Rory McIlroy, and hes coming in in fine form. 5 great reasons to put Bonville at the top of your list in 2023, Course flyover: The Western Australian Golf Club. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. Outside of those events, Cantlay has been stellar. Caddie: Cameron Young (40-1, DraftKings) Cam Young is going to get his first win soon, and why not here? McIlroy has gained strokes putting at Bay Hill in four of his past five trips, which has translated to one win, four top-10s and no finish worse than T-13. Golf betting record in 2023 through Pebble Beach:7-17-1, -3.114 units (0-5 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets)One-and-Done record in 2023: $553,137.22 (Matthew Fitzpatrick at Pebble, $0), Top 10 pick for WM Phoenix Open: Justin Thomas (+220). Its a coin flip to me who holds the belt at the end of the season, so Ill gladly take the plus money on the player with far better course history. Adrian Meronk ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,500 FanDuel). RSM Classic: Brendon Todd. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our red-hot experts make a consensus bet, thanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week, Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge: Challenger/Champion, create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National. Pick To Win: Joaquin Niemann ($8,500 DraftKings | $10,200 FanDuel). 1 and has won four times in his. Over the past 36 rounds, Rahm is gaining a staggering 3.01 strokes per roundthe most in the field, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Farmers: Jason Day. Thats going to be half the battle at Southern Hills and should allow Mitchell to often play from the correct position. It can be a little more difficult for inexperienced bettors than wagering on other sports. Now, run-offs will propel missed approaches down embankmentswhich will really test recovery shots. We warned you guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend to run hot! Riley Hamel. Rules Review: I thought my ball was lost and put another in play, then found my first in the hole(!) At these odds, I love for him to show up to a place hes comfortable at and get back to his DNA. February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. 4. Weve seen six starts from Simpson since his return from injury at The Players. Despite two disappointing finishes in Phoenix and Los Angeles, McIlroy was still brilliant from tee-to-greenlosing over eight strokes with the putter during that stretch. Despite the fact that Horschel's results so far in 2023 haven't been promising, we think that's a bet well . "Yeah, Kurt, Youll likely know pretty quickly with Kim, either hes making everything or nothing. I think this is a spot where we can fade Rahm, on a course that favors the drawers of the ball. Golf betting record in 2023 through Sony: 3-5-1, -1.274 units (0-2 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets) One-and-Done record in 2023: $333,387.22 (Cam Davis taken at Sony, $41,387.22) PGA Tour expert. 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. But its the site of an annual PGA Tour event, which is even better exposure to the golf world. You can decide if a hole-in-one will occur, how many strokes the winner will win, if a playoff will take place, and which golfer will shoot the lowest score in a certain round. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. Were always looking for courses which wont require the winner to breach 20 under, and Bay Hill certainly qualifies. Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Rory McIlroy (10-1, BetMGM) Im not sure how we ended up here after his insane 2022, but at the end of February Rorys already the forgotten man. World No. WM Phoenix Open DraftKings golf picks 2023: Best PGA DFS lineup. The 2014 FedEx Cup champion has long odds this week to the tune of +10000 to win. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, predictions, field, odds: Golf expert fading Justin Thomas at Bay Hill. Cantlay hasnt fared well in majors during his career, recording only two top 10s in 20 starts. Golf betting online is readily available at most online sportsbooks for all of the PGA Tour tournaments throughout the season. When comparing price and skill-set to his peers, hes the odd man out. betting. Everything that we just said about Schauffele applies here. On top of that, hes doing it with accurate driving thats a little less than long but high-quality iron play, gaining 0.54 strokes per round on approach over his last 20 rounds. 1. We are seeing Pereira mature right in front of our eyes. He drives the ball beautifully, ranked inside the top 10 in SG/off the tee this season, and he hits his long irons very well. Its yet another elevated event on the PGA Tourso its dangerous to put our chips down on one name over 20-1, but thats what were doing. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, PGA Championship 2022 DFS picks: A surprising fade and bold plays from our data scientist, significant restoration by Gil Hanse and his team a few years ago, Fans are freaking out over the beer (and water) prices at Southern Hills. Bermuda: Russell Knox. The setup at Bay Hill will play similarly to PGA National, and if a few more putts fall and Young . His last top-35 finish came three years ago, and hes lost strokes to the field in nine consecutive starts. And 44 of the top 50 players in the OWGR are playing this. About Us Mandatory Credit: Allan Henry-USA TODAY Sports. With the exception that you get to choose where your golfer will place in the competition. WM Phoenix Open Hole-in-One odds (Will someone ace the 16th hole? Sanderson Farms Championship: J.T. This will be Ims eighth start in nine weeks, which is an unsustainable pace, and we already started to see the wheels come off last weekend at the Honda Classic. Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. Itll be great to see Tiger play this week but lets temper any expectations. Matchup Results from the Honda Classic: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+130) over Frittelli and O Hair, Round 1); Mayo: 1 for 1 (Meronk (+105) over C. Davis); Gehman: 1 for 1 (M.W. HyperFlex Carbon The new HyperFlex Carbon offers tour-proven enhancements, delivering unquestioned innovation, comfort, stability and visual design. High Upside: Kevin Na ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,200 FanDuel). Russell Henley, who had a three-stroke lead going into the final round of last years tournament before a six-man playoff, lost it in dramatic fashion in the final round. Homa was splendid in his win at TPC Potomac, battling wet and nasty conditions all week long. We have a Privacy Policy and Cookie Policy. Pick to Win WM Phoenix Open (0.5 Units): Xander Schauffele (+1400). Mitchell has proven to possess a few skills that will be very valuable at Southern Hills. His putter has also been great, beating the field in that category in eight of his past nine. WMPO: Scottie Scheffler. Golf betting record in 2023 through Pebble Beach: 7-17-1, -3.114 units (0-5 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets) One-and-Done record in 2023: $553,137.22 (Matthew Fitzpatrick at Pebble, $0) PGA Tour. WMPO: Sungjae Im. Honda: Chris Kirk. Powers, Golf Digest: Shane Lowry (65-1, FanDuel) Last week he was the toast of the town as the second favorite, and he wound up finishing top five. Which is why betting on props, with their lower golf odds, is a terrific way to earn while enjoying the event itself. The golf picks team has researched the odds board with sportsbooks like FanDuel golf odds and listed its top Wyndham Championship golf picks above. Mayo helped create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the Mayo Cup One and Done contest. RELATED: Our latest podcast explores the gambling revolution already hitting golf, Pick To Win: Billy Horschel ($7,400 DraftKings | $9,100 FanDuel). Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. (Pat Mayo also had runner-up Eric Cole as a +900 top-10 bet.) Also, the players that have the necessary statistics in their arsenal to compete and win these PGA picks this week. In his last appearance at this tournament, he ended the first round with a score that was in the top five best of the day. Outside of the Zurich Classic, where Grace partnered with Garrick Higgo, he hasnt threatened a top 20 in 2022. Note:All odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. And even on prestigious stages, such as the Masters Tournament, when players like Charl Schwartzel and Angel Cabrera won against the odds of +10000 and +12500. There are several propositional bets available in addition to the more traditional bets that may be found for every tournament. A year after being named PGA Tour Rookie of the Year, he has yet to win a tournament on the professional circuit. All eyes will be on the 2022 Wyndham Championship, which concludes the PGA Tour regular season this week. Jon Rahm and Rory McIlroy to finish Top 10 Parlay (+300). Only he and Jon Rahm rank top-10 in SG/tee-to-green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf. In the last year, hes lost 0.24 strokes putting per round and has lost 0.09 per round in the short-game categories combined. In general, we provide our Free sports picks today on time, giving you plenty of time to digest our research and get the best golf odds on our PGA picks this week. Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015 outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death. His past 13 individual events have produced zero top 30s, and hes losing strokes in nearly every category. By cutting the cut. LIV Golf Apparently Spent Over a Billion Dollars to Make Zero Dollars? Pick To Win: Keith Mitchell ($6,600 DraftKings | $8,100 FanDuel). The bettor must be 21 or older in most states, but some merely demand that they be 18 years old. With the importance of those skills at Riviera, it should be little surprise that he has missed the cut in all three trips to this event. This spring, he finished second at the 3M Open and finished in the top 10 at the Masters (T8), the Memorial (T10), and the Deutsche Bank Championship (T8). The play: NBA, Pelicans money line over Trail Blazers The odds/wafer: +105 ($30 to win $31.50) The book: BetMGM Time/TV: 10:10 p.m. (Bally Sports) Our take: Throughout the course of our daily best . Sentry TOC: Xander Schauffele. Top-10 results from the Honda Classic: Mayo: 1 for 1 (Eric Cole +900); Hennessey: 1 for 1 (Chris Kirk +330); Everybody else: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Gdula: 7 for 17 (up 17.6 units); Mayo: 6 for 16 (up 12.1 units); Gehman: 5 for 17 (up 9.55 units); Lack: 3 for 8 (up 2.9 units); Hennessey: 4 for 17 (up 2.85 units); Powers: 2 for 17 (down 8.9 units); Caddie: 2 for 17 (down 8.95 units).