fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts

Late Wednesday night in a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court chose not to block a Texas law banning most abortions after the sixth week of pregnancy -- making it the most restrictive abortion law in the country. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. We hear about the decade-long relationship between the two of them, one that dates back to the Kennedys arrival in Washington in the mid-50s, and hear fascinating observations these women make about each other. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. The crew discusses two elections in Ohio this week that will test the sway of the establishment in both parties. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless' Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. The Supreme Court Not So Much. As we discussed earlier this week, House Democrats plan on passing a one point nine trillion dollar American rescue plan by the end of the week. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what's behind the recent movement in the forecast and answer questions from listeners. Good Sport | Podcasts | TED Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. Jury Duty: Who Gets Called, And Who Actually Serves Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Economics Professor at George Washington University, Tara Sinclair, joins to explain what is going on with the economy and the potential consequences of a spike in prices. We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. police- settlements. The crew discusses which states will determine the balance of both chambers and what theyve learned from this election so far. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - kerryandjessica.com Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. It's a busy week! LS 81 Global Rank TOP 0.01% ABOUT THIS PODCAST Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The Johnson & Johnson Pause Shows The System Is Working What does it take to make democracy work? What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. 04:58 PM. Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss why live caller surveys are no longer the gold standard in polling and what it means for the future of the industry. What Are The Most Vulnerable Senate Seats In 2024? | FiveThirtyEight The episode tracks the 14 days from the murder of the president to when the Johnsons move into the White House, days filled with tragic ceremony and heartfelt moments of solidarity between Jackie Kennedy and Lady Bird. fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. Nate and Galen discuss the latest twists in the midterms and answer listener questions in this installment of "Model Talk." Technology and politics reporter Kaleigh Rogers discusses the influence of conspiracy theories on the events that led to the Jan. 6th riot, why people believe in conspiracy theories in the first place, and what it means for the future of American politics. MANAGER'S SALARY. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. According to a new poll from the Wall Street Journal, Hispanic voters are now split evenly between the Democratic and Republican parties, just one year after 60 percent voted for Democratic House candidates. Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. All. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. They also consider the causes of hyperinflation, as Democrats and Republicans blame different culprits for the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Stitcher FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. Just another site fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! ( Businessweek) They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. Good Contents Are Everywhere, But Here, We Deliver The Best of The Best.Please Hold on! What does the bench of Democratic leadership look like beyond Biden? FiveThirtyEight Politics Show - PodCenter - ESPN Radio Saturday, February 25, 2023. The crew discusses what legal debates are currently playing out, what the decision could mean for the future of Roe v. Wade, and where Americans stand on abortion restrictions in general. This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. The crew discusses the Virginia and new Jersey gubernatorial races a week before election day, and guesses how Americans feel about the potential provisions in the Democrats spending bill. Today those numbers have flipped. FiveThirtyEight Politics (podcast) | Listen online - Free - No signup The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes. In Matthew Continetti's new book, The Right: The Hundred Year War For American Conservatism, he argues that in order to understand where the right is heading, you have to understand where it's been. And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the factors that went into Republican Glenn Youngkin winning the Virginia governor's race. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. heritage commons university of utah. 2022 FiveThirtyEight Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. Hosts of the British Talking Politics podcast, David Runciman and Helen Thompson, discuss why the British public and some members of the Conservative Party have soured on Johnson in a way that Republicans never soured on President Trump, despite his numerous scandals. They also address a listener question that suggests Republicans achieve their policy goals more often than Democrats. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discuss the messages that Senators sent and whether we were able to glean anything about what kind of Justice Jackson would be. Our Data | FiveThirtyEight They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. His new book is called "The Engagement: Americas Quarter-Century Struggle Over Same-Sex Marriage.". 10 Wednesday AM Reads - The Big Picture FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App FiveThirtyEight Politics https://feeds.megaphone.fm/ESP8794877317 Follow Share 13.5k Followers 200 Episodes Category: Politics Last Update: 2023-02-21 Claim Ownership I'm Galen Truk. They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. Transcripts by Erin Wade. In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. 11:03 AM. FT Podcasts | Financial Times Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World," speaks with Galen about the impacts of social media on politics globally and in the U.S. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . Listen to FiveThirtyEight Politics on Spotify. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. The crew discusses why the number of independents has been growing and what it means for American politics. The podcast turns its focus abroad, to Canada and Germany, to see how other democracies' electoral systems work and what cleavages their politics are facing. This is the final FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast episode of the Trump presidency. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. Google Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Politic The crew debates which states should vote first in the presidential primaries if the Iowa caucuses were to go away. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. March 1, 2023 6:30am by Barry Ritholtz. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. They also cover the redistricting process happening around the country after a number of big recent developments. They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaskas special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. They also talk about what states are doing with their billions in excess cash and look into opinion polling on the U.S.s involvement in Ukraine. They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press is more negative on Biden than it was on President Trump is a "good or bad use of data.". They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. Republican Mayra Flores won the special election in Texass 34th congressional district on Tuesday, avoiding a runoff and flipping the longtime Democratic seat in Texass Rio Grande Valley. The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of campaign ads aired this cycle. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. The data behind that evolution is striking. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the Senate next year. Americans are spending more and more time alone, and more than a third reported experiencing serious loneliness" in 2021. The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. On the final day of COP26, we look at whether these types of international agreements actually shape countries climate policies and whether there are other factors that are more important. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. FiveThirtyEight Media Bias | AllSides 'Coldest Case' review: Serial's podcast revisits a 1985 murder in The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the news events and polling that have contributed to that change. They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. Latino voters swung by eight percentage points toward President Trump in the last election, the largest swing of any racial or ethnic group in the electorate.

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